Juventus 4-0 Frosinone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup, 11 Jan 2024

Juventus
4-0 HT 2-0
Frosinone
📅11/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Italy - Cup – 2023/2024

Juventus vs Frosinone Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.03
Over 2.5
64%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.99
No
41%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
29%
3.24
6+ Goals
11%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.66
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
34.0
1/X
7%
19.3
X/1
19%
3.46
X/2
9%
15.45
X/X
9%
6.21
2/1
7%
23.45
2/2
5%
12.8
2/X
5%
20.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.0 — our 8% vs market 1.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
67%
-9.4pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.6pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+8.8pp
36%
Under 2.5
45%
-9.3pp
64%
Over 2.5
55%
+9.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
46%
+12.9pp
41%
BTTS No
54%
-12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Juventus v Frosinone — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Frosinone EU Bookmakers 16%
+10% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
2.91/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.33
+22% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +80%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
450 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
33.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
18.7 Crosses 15.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.2

Juventus vs Frosinone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Frosinone
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.00 xG 0.49
63% Ball Possession 37%
24 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
471 Passes 240
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 9
23 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.12.2023 Frosinone Frosinone 1-2 HT 0-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
15.02.2019 Juventus Juventus 3-0 HT 2-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTA
23.09.2018 Frosinone Frosinone 0-2 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
07.02.2016 Frosinone Frosinone 0-2 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
23.09.2015 Juventus Juventus 1-1 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTA
01.05.2007 Frosinone Frosinone 0-2 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTB

Juventus 4-0 Frosinone — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus
4-0
AWAY Frosinone
3.03 xG 0.60
46% Ball Possession 54%
23 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
368 Passes 445
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
45 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Juventus vs Frosinone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus cruised past Frosinone 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Juventus as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Juventus had 46% of the ball to Frosinone's 54%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 3.03 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Juventus and 0.33 for Frosinone.

What was the final score of Juventus vs Frosinone?

Juventus 4-0 Frosinone in the Italy - Cup on 11/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus vs Frosinone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Juventus 57%, draw 21%, Frosinone 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Juventus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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