NK Varazdin 1-3 Istra 1961 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies - Arena Cup, 11 Jan 2024

📅11/01/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
37%
3.04
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-5.0pp
37%
Draw
29%
+8.2pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NK Varazdin EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NK Varazdin
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Istra 1961
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.91 xG 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
338 Passes 343
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.12.2023 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 3-2 HT 1-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIRK
01.12.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 2-0 HT 1-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
17.09.2023 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-0 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
16.04.2023 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 0-0 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
03.02.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 2-1 HT 1-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
30.09.2022 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-1 HT 1-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NK Varazdin
1-3
AWAY Istra 1961
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Istra 1961 saw off NK Varazdin 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (32% / 37% / 31%) promised a tight game; Istra 1961 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, NK Varazdin had 48% of the ball to Istra 1961's 52%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for NK Varazdin and 1.17 for Istra 1961.

What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961?

NK Varazdin 1-3 Istra 1961 in the Friendlies - Arena Cup on 11/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split NK Varazdin 32%, draw 37%, Istra 1961 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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