Baraunas 2-0 Força e Luz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Potiguar, 11 Jan 2024

📅11/01/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
23%
2.94
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
4%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.6pp
22%
Draw
30%
-7.8pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baraunas EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Força e Luz EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
281 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baraunas
2-0
AWAY Força e Luz
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Baraunas vs Força e Luz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baraunas got the better of Força e Luz 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 22% / 37% — and on the day Baraunas made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Baraunas had 49% of the ball to Força e Luz's 51%, shots finished 14-7.

What was the final score of Baraunas vs Força e Luz?

Baraunas 2-0 Força e Luz in the Brazil - Potiguar on 11/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baraunas vs Força e Luz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baraunas win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Baraunas 40%, draw 22%, Força e Luz 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baraunas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Baraunas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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