USM Alger 2-1 JS Saoura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 11 Jan 2024

USM Alger
2-1 HT 0-1
JS Saoura
📅11/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Algeria - 1st Division – 2023/2024

USM Alger vs JS Saoura Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.38
Over 2.5
35%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.81
No
66%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
12%
7.01
6+ Goals
6%
60.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.5pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
69%
-3.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
31%
+3.6pp
34%
BTTS Yes
32%
+2.2pp
66%
BTTS No
68%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

USM Alger v JS Saoura — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Alger EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY JS Saoura EU Bookmakers 19%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +4%
1.89/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.19
+30% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6

USM Alger vs JS Saoura Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Alger
1W-3D-2L
AWAY JS Saoura
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
27.06.2023 JS Saoura JS Saoura 2-0 HT 1-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
21.10.2022 USM Alger USM Alger 1-1 HT 1-0 JS Saoura JS Saoura CZYR
05.03.2022 USM Alger USM Alger 0-0 HT 0-0 JS Saoura JS Saoura CZYR
07.11.2021 JS Saoura JS Saoura 1-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
16.05.2021 USM Alger USM Alger 2-0 HT 1-0 JS Saoura JS Saoura CZYR
05.12.2020 JS Saoura JS Saoura 2-2 HT 1-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR

USM Alger 2-1 JS Saoura — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Alger
2-1
AWAY JS Saoura
70% Ball Possession 30%
21 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH USM Alger vs JS Saoura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger squeezed past JS Saoura 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had USM Alger as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, USM Alger had 70% of the ball to JS Saoura's 30%, shots finished 21-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, JS Saoura led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for USM Alger and 1.00 for JS Saoura.

What was the final score of USM Alger vs JS Saoura?

USM Alger 2-1 JS Saoura in the Algeria - 1st Division on 11/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Alger vs JS Saoura?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 51%, draw 26%, JS Saoura 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Alger) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (USM Alger) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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