Chennaiyin FC 1-1 Punjab FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super Cup, 11 Jan 2024

📅11/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
3.52
6+ Goals
12%
14.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chennaiyin FC EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Punjab FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chennaiyin FC
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Punjab FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.96 xG 1.10
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
372 Passes 278
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.12.2023 Punjab FC Punjab FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
29.10.2023 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 5-1 HT 3-0 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİNSL
19.06.2019 Punjab FC Punjab FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC AFCŞL2
03.04.2019 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Punjab FC Punjab FC AFCŞL2
POST-MATCH Chennaiyin FC vs Punjab FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chennaiyin FC and Punjab FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Chennaiyin FC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chennaiyin FC and 0.75 for Punjab FC.

What was the final score of Chennaiyin FC vs Punjab FC?

Chennaiyin FC 1-1 Punjab FC in the India - Super Cup on 11/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chennaiyin FC vs Punjab FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chennaiyin FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chennaiyin FC 44%, draw 25%, Punjab FC 31%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chennaiyin FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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