11/01/2024
·
15:25
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Al Shoalah vs Al Taqdom Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No Pick
59%
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
38%
4-5
19%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 59% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
53%
Home Win
48%
23%
Draw
28%
24%
Away Win
24%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Shoalah v Al Taqdom — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Shoalah
The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Taqdom
The Market 27%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
334 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
274 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Shoalah vs Al Taqdom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Shoalah saw off Al Taqdom 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Shoalah as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Al Shoalah vs Al Taqdom?
Al Shoalah 2-0 Al Taqdom in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 11/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Shoalah vs Al Taqdom?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shoalah win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Shoalah 53%, draw 23%, Al Taqdom 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shoalah), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Al Shoalah)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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