Trabzonspor 2-1 Samsunspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 11 Jan 2024

📅11/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.96
6+ Goals
10%
17.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.27
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
9%
14.3
X/1
11%
3.96
X/2
7%
9.33
X/X
11%
4.47
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
12%
7.6
2/X
8%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 23%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.66/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.91
+17% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
17.8 Crosses 18.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trabzonspor
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Samsunspor
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
402 Passes 300
90% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 4
28 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 3-0 HT 2-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TÜK
29.07.2018 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 3-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor HAZ
27.03.2016 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-3 HT 1-3 Samsunspor Samsunspor HAZ
15.01.2012 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 4-0 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
21.09.2011 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
19.03.2006 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
2-1
AWAY Samsunspor
1.25 xG 2.35
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 19
8 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 1
393 Passes 221
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor nicked a narrow win over Samsunspor 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Trabzonspor as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Trabzonspor had 61% of the ball to Samsunspor's 39%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 1.25 to 2.35 — the balance of chances actually favoured Samsunspor.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trabzonspor had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Trabzonspor and 0.83 for Samsunspor.

What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor?

Trabzonspor 2-1 Samsunspor in the Turkey - Super League on 11/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 48%, draw 28%, Samsunspor 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trabzonspor) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trabzonspor)
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