Rotherham United 3-1 Bolton Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 11 Jan 2025

Rotherham United
3-1 HT 2-0
Bolton Wanderers
📅11/01/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Rotherham United vs Bolton Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.91
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.61
6+ Goals
9%
15.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 31% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.1
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
14%
5.77
X/2
7%
5.2
X/X
12%
4.52
2/1
5%
31.5
2/2
19%
3.54
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-4.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rotherham United v Bolton Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rotherham United EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 42%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.35/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.94
+4% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
234 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 72%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
26.6 Crosses 15.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Rotherham United vs Bolton Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rotherham United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.61 xG 1.14
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
224 Passes 235
66% Pass Accuracy 63%
27 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.01.2022 Rotherham United Rotherham United 2-1 HT 1-1 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
18.09.2021 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-2 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
14.09.2019 Rotherham United Rotherham United 6-1 HT 3-1 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
26.12.2018 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-1 HT 1-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İNCL
20.10.2018 Rotherham United Rotherham United 1-1 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İNCL
06.02.2016 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-1 HT 1-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İNCL

Rotherham United 3-1 Bolton Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rotherham United
3-1
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
2.93 xG 2.06
45% Ball Possession 55%
20 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
193 Passes 283
63% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rotherham United vs Bolton Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rotherham United got the better of Bolton Wanderers 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Rotherham United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rotherham United had 45% of the ball to Bolton Wanderers's 55%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 2.93 to 2.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rotherham United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Rotherham United and 1.17 for Bolton Wanderers.

What was the final score of Rotherham United vs Bolton Wanderers?

Rotherham United 3-1 Bolton Wanderers in the England - 1st Division on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rotherham United vs Bolton Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rotherham United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rotherham United 39%, draw 28%, Bolton Wanderers 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rotherham United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rotherham United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →