CD Coria 1-0 Real Madrid III — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.3pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+5.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Coria EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid III EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.93/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-17% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Coria
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Real Madrid III
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 7
01.09.2024 Real Madrid III Real Madrid III 3-3 HT 1-0 CD Coria CD Coria İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Coria
1-0
AWAY Real Madrid III
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CD Coria vs Real Madrid III
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Coria nicked a narrow win over Real Madrid III 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; CD Coria found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CD Coria had 56% of the ball to Real Madrid III's 44%, shots finished 21-5.

What was the final score of CD Coria vs Real Madrid III?

CD Coria 1-0 Real Madrid III in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Coria vs Real Madrid III?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid III win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CD Coria 34%, draw 26%, Real Madrid III 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Madrid III) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Madrid III) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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