AAli FC 1-3 Al Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 11 Jan 2025

AAli FC
1-3 HT 1-2
Al Najma
📅11/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Bahrain - Premier League – 2025/2026

AAli FC vs Al Najma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
50%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.66
No
58%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
2.82
6+ Goals
9%
8.33
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.11 — our 31% vs market 18.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+5.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
50%
Away Win
56%
-6.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
56%
-14.2pp
58%
BTTS No
44%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AAli FC v Al Najma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AAli FC EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najma EU Bookmakers 61%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.62/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.00
+61% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -5%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH AAli FC vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najma saw off AAli FC 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Najma as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of AAli FC vs Al Najma?

AAli FC 1-3 Al Najma in the Bahrain - Premier League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AAli FC vs Al Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split AAli FC 26%, draw 24%, Al Najma 50%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Najma) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Najma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAH More Bahrain - Premier League
11 Jan 2025
19:00 Manama vs Al Shabab Manama Analysis →