Marumo Gallants 1-0 Cape Town City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 11 Jan 2025

Marumo Gallants
1-0 HT 1-0
Cape Town City
📅11/01/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
South Afrika - Premier League – 2024/2025

Marumo Gallants vs Cape Town City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.01
2-3 Goals
34%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
5.66
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+4.5pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.3pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Marumo Gallants v Cape Town City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marumo Gallants EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Cape Town City EU Bookmakers 46%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -18%
0.97/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.28
-8% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
269 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
16.9 Crosses 20.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

Marumo Gallants vs Cape Town City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marumo Gallants
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cape Town City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.82 xG 1.43
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
368 Passes 433
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.03.2023 Cape Town City Cape Town City 2-2 HT 1-1 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
29.10.2022 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 2-1 HT 1-0 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
19.03.2022 Cape Town City Cape Town City 1-0 HT 0-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
14.12.2021 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 0-0 HT 0-0 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
24.04.2021 Cape Town City Cape Town City 3-0 HT 0-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
09.01.2021 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 2-2 HT 1-2 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL

Marumo Gallants 1-0 Cape Town City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marumo Gallants
1-0
AWAY Cape Town City
1.91 xG 0.60
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
270 Passes 328
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Marumo Gallants vs Cape Town City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marumo Gallants squeezed past Cape Town City 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Marumo Gallants found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Marumo Gallants had 45% of the ball to Cape Town City's 55%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.91 to 0.60 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Marumo Gallants's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cape Town City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marumo Gallants and 1.50 for Cape Town City.

What was the final score of Marumo Gallants vs Cape Town City?

Marumo Gallants 1-0 Cape Town City in the South Afrika - Premier League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marumo Gallants vs Cape Town City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cape Town City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Marumo Gallants 32%, draw 29%, Cape Town City 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cape Town City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cape Town City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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