Darmstadt 98 1-0 St. Gallen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 11 Jan 2025

Darmstadt 98
1-0 HT 1-0
St. Gallen
📅11/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Darmstadt 98 vs St. Gallen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.63
Over 2.5
53%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.39
No
49%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
5.89
2-3 Goals
40%
2.02
4-5 Goals
22%
2.44
6+ Goals
11%
5.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.66
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
28.0
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
17%
5.15
X/2
14%
7.42
X/X
11%
6.41
2/1
8%
20.8
2/2
14%
4.37
2/X
8%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.0 — our 9% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-8.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
34%
+12.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
66%
-12.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.8pp
49%
BTTS No
32%
+16.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Darmstadt 98 v St. Gallen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.12/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/1.42
-31% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
329 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Darmstadt 98 vs St. Gallen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darmstadt 98 edged past St. Gallen 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Darmstadt 98 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Darmstadt 98 vs St. Gallen?

Darmstadt 98 1-0 St. Gallen in the Friendlies on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darmstadt 98 vs St. Gallen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darmstadt 98 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Darmstadt 98 38%, draw 24%, St. Gallen 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Darmstadt 98) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Darmstadt 98) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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