Ballyclare Comrades 3-1 Newry City AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
41%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.43
No
38%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.3
2-3 Goals
37%
1.95
4-5 Goals
29%
2.52
6+ Goals
13%
5.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+5.8pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.7pp
41%
Away Win
50%
-9.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.1pp
38%
BTTS No
34%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballyclare Comrades EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 55%
+21% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.43/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/0.31
+17% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballyclare Comrades
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Newry City AFC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2024 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 3-1 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL1
20.09.2024 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 2-1 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades KİRL1
04.10.2022 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 1-2 HT 0-1 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KILK
26.03.2022 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 1-5 HT 1-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL1
27.12.2021 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 0-1 HT 0-1 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades KİRL1
26.12.2019 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 1-1 HT 0-1 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ballyclare Comrades vs Newry City AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballyclare Comrades saw off Newry City AFC 3-1.

Our pre-match lean was Newry City AFC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newry City AFC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ballyclare Comrades and 1.83 for Newry City AFC.

What was the final score of Ballyclare Comrades vs Newry City AFC?

Ballyclare Comrades 3-1 Newry City AFC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballyclare Comrades vs Newry City AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newry City AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ballyclare Comrades 32%, draw 27%, Newry City AFC 41%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newry City AFC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newry City AFC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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KİRL1 More North Ireland - 1st Division
11 Jan 2025
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