National Bank of Egypt 1-0 Ismaily — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.36
Over 2.5
37%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.44
No
58%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.77
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
7.13
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.0pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.8pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
70%
-6.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
30%
+6.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
37%
+5.0pp
58%
BTTS No
63%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME National Bank of Egypt EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ismaily EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.06/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.09
-10% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
19.8 Crosses 12.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME National Bank of Egypt
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Ismaily
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.04 xG 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
326 Passes 294
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.05.2024 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 2-2 HT 1-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
05.12.2023 Ismaily Ismaily 2-1 HT 1-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
17.05.2023 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 2-0 HT 1-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
03.01.2023 Ismaily Ismaily 0-0 HT 0-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
22.05.2022 Ismaily Ismaily 2-2 HT 1-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
04.11.2021 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 1-0 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME National Bank of Egypt
1-0
AWAY Ismaily
0.59 xG 0.27
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 7
250 Passes 366
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH National Bank of Egypt vs Ismaily
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

National Bank of Egypt squeezed past Ismaily 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; National Bank of Egypt found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, National Bank of Egypt had 41% of the ball to Ismaily's 59%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.59 to 0.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, National Bank of Egypt had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for National Bank of Egypt and 1.00 for Ismaily.

What was the final score of National Bank of Egypt vs Ismaily?

National Bank of Egypt 1-0 Ismaily in the Egypt - Premier League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for National Bank of Egypt vs Ismaily?

Before kick-off our model rated a National Bank of Egypt win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split National Bank of Egypt 38%, draw 31%, Ismaily 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (National Bank of Egypt), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (National Bank of Egypt) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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