Ohod 1-1 Al Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒15:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.34
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
16%
+7.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
51%
Away Win
61%
-10.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.6pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ohod EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najma EU Bookmakers 66%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.03/2.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-3% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -1%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
245 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 446 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ohod
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Najma
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.02.2024 Ohod Ohod 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Najma Al Najma SUUD1
26.08.2023 Al Najma Al Najma 3-0 HT 1-1 Ohod Ohod SUUD1
POST-MATCH Ohod vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ohod and Al Najma shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Najma at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Najma led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ohod and 2.50 for Al Najma.

What was the final score of Ohod vs Al Najma?

Ohod 1-1 Al Najma in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ohod vs Al Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ohod 23%, draw 26%, Al Najma 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Najma), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Najma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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