US Tataouine 0-3 ES Metlaoui — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.44
Over 2.5
37%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.93
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
6.08
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+3.5pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.4pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-3.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
66%
-2.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
34%
+2.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.5pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Tataouine EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 43%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
1.01/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/3.00
+5% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -67%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
259 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME US Tataouine
0W-4D-2L
AWAY ES Metlaoui
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 US Tataouine US Tataouine 0-0 HT 0-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN
10.02.2024 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 0-0 HT 0-0 US Tataouine US Tataouine TUN
29.10.2023 US Tataouine US Tataouine 0-0 HT 0-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1B
20.08.2023 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 1-0 HT 0-0 US Tataouine US Tataouine TUN1B
12.02.2023 US Tataouine US Tataouine 1-1 HT 0-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TNUSK
09.03.2022 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 1-0 HT 0-0 US Tataouine US Tataouine TUN1A
POST-MATCH US Tataouine vs ES Metlaoui
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Metlaoui cruised past US Tataouine 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (33% / 32% / 36%) promised a tight game; ES Metlaoui found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ES Metlaoui led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for US Tataouine and 0.50 for ES Metlaoui.

What was the final score of US Tataouine vs ES Metlaoui?

US Tataouine 0-3 ES Metlaoui in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Tataouine vs ES Metlaoui?

Before kick-off our model rated an ES Metlaoui win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split US Tataouine 33%, draw 32%, ES Metlaoui 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Metlaoui), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ES Metlaoui) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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