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Aston Villa (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Aston Villa (K) v Brighton & Hove Albion (K) — Team-Based Signals
Aston Villa (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
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Aston Villa (K) 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Aston Villa (K) came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 2-1. The 0-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aston Villa (K) as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Brighton & Hove Albion (K) saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.54 to 1.44 — on chances, Brighton & Hove Albion (K) could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Aston Villa (K) against 1.33 for Brighton & Hove Albion (K).
Aston Villa (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Result & Final Score
Aston Villa (K) 2 - 1 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Aston Villa (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa (K) 45%, draw 26%, Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aston Villa (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.