Madrid II (K) 1-3 Athletic Club II (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Women's Primera Federasyon League, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.45
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
31%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
Over Pick
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1
17%
2-3
46%
4-5
26%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
14%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
52%
Home Win
64%
-12.5pp
17%
Draw
19%
-1.2pp
31%
Away Win
17%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madrid II (K) The Market 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Club II (K) The Market 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madrid II (K)
1-3
AWAY Athletic Club II (K)
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 11
0 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Madrid II (K) vs Athletic Club II (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Club II (K) beat Madrid II (K) 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Madrid II (K) at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Madrid II (K) had 41% of the ball to Athletic Club II (K)'s 59%, shots finished 5-17.

What was the final score of Madrid II (K) vs Athletic Club II (K)?

Madrid II (K) 1-3 Athletic Club II (K) in the Spain - Women's Primera Federasyon League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madrid II (K) vs Athletic Club II (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madrid II (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Madrid II (K) 52%, draw 17%, Athletic Club II (K) 31%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Madrid II (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Madrid II (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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