Dundee FC 2-1 St. Johnstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 11 Feb 2024

Dundee FC
2-1 HT 0-1
St. Johnstone
📅11/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

Dundee FC vs St. Johnstone Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.6
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.42
6+ Goals
9%
23.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.53
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.8
X/1
15%
3.95
X/2
10%
7.79
X/X
12%
4.2
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
11%
6.51
2/X
7%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.9pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dundee FC v St. Johnstone — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 27%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +22%
0.75/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.14
-47% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +23%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
290 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 64%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
21.6 Crosses 17.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Dundee FC vs St. Johnstone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY St. Johnstone
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.69 xG 1.15
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
214 Passes 282
64% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.09.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-2 HT 0-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
23.04.2022 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
26.01.2022 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
01.12.2021 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
02.10.2021 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 3-1 HT 2-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
22.09.2021 Dundee FC Dundee FC 0-2 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKLK

Dundee FC 2-1 St. Johnstone — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee FC
2-1
AWAY St. Johnstone
3.19 xG 1.37
59% Ball Possession 41%
26 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 7
303 Passes 177
71% Pass Accuracy 60%
51 Box Touches 24
27 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dundee FC vs St. Johnstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee FC squeezed past St. Johnstone 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dundee FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dundee FC had 59% of the ball to St. Johnstone's 41%, shots finished 26-15, expected goals 3.19 to 1.37 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Dundee FC's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dundee FC and 1.33 for St. Johnstone.

What was the final score of Dundee FC vs St. Johnstone?

Dundee FC 2-1 St. Johnstone in the Scotland - Premiership on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee FC vs St. Johnstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dundee FC 46%, draw 27%, St. Johnstone 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundee FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dundee FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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