Dundee FC vs St. Johnstone Prediction — Model Probabilities
Dundee FC v St. Johnstone — Team-Based Signals
Dundee FC vs St. Johnstone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Dundee FC 2-1 St. Johnstone — Actual Match Statistics
Dundee FC shaded a tight game against St. Johnstone 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dundee FC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (57%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Dundee FC had 59% of the ball to St. Johnstone's 41%, shots finished 26-15, expected goals 3.19 to 1.37 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Dundee FC's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dundee FC and 1.33 for St. Johnstone.
Dundee FC vs St. Johnstone Result & Final Score
Dundee FC 2 - 1 St. Johnstone in the Scotland - Premiership on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Dundee FC vs St. Johnstone Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Dundee FC 51%, draw 27%, St. Johnstone 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundee FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.