Coventry 2-1 Millwall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 11 Feb 2024

Coventry
2-1 HT 0-1
Millwall
📅11/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Coventry vs Millwall Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 31% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.29
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
9%
14.5
X/1
19%
3.99
X/2
9%
8.52
X/X
14%
5.06
2/1
7%
22.9
2/2
13%
6.53
2/X
5%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-10.1pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+6.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.4pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Coventry v Millwall — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coventry EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Millwall EU Bookmakers 26%
-6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.50/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.25
-17% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +22%
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
376 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 70%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
21.9 Crosses 17.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8

Coventry vs Millwall Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coventry
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Millwall
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.92 xG 1.07
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
321 Passes 303
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Millwall Millwall 0-3 HT 0-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
14.02.2023 Coventry Coventry 1-0 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
13.08.2022 Millwall Millwall 3-2 HT 1-2 Coventry Coventry İNCL
29.12.2021 Coventry Coventry 0-1 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
18.09.2021 Millwall Millwall 1-1 HT 1-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
08.05.2021 Coventry Coventry 6-1 HT 2-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL

Coventry 2-1 Millwall — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coventry
2-1
AWAY Millwall
1.90 xG 0.87
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
471 Passes 241
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Coventry vs Millwall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coventry edged past Millwall 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Coventry as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Coventry had 62% of the ball to Millwall's 38%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.90 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coventry had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Coventry and 1.00 for Millwall.

What was the final score of Coventry vs Millwall?

Coventry 2-1 Millwall in the England - Championship on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coventry vs Millwall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coventry win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Coventry 43%, draw 28%, Millwall 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coventry) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coventry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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