Arsenal (K) 0-1 Manchester City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's FA Cup, 11 Feb 2024

Arsenal (K)
0-1 HT 0-0
Manchester City (K)
📅11/02/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
England - Women's FA Cup – 2023/2024

Arsenal (K) vs Manchester City (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
16%
4.49
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.7pp
16%
Draw
19%
-3.0pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arsenal (K) v Manchester City (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
434 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 67%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Arsenal (K) vs Manchester City (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal (K)
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Manchester City (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.07 xG 1.23
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
394 Passes 388
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.10.2019 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
11.05.2019 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
23.02.2019 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKLK
02.12.2018 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
12.05.2018 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
30.09.2017 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 5-2 HT 2-1 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL

Arsenal (K) 0-1 Manchester City (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal (K)
0-1
AWAY Manchester City (K)
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Arsenal (K) vs Manchester City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City (K) squeezed past Arsenal (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Arsenal (K) carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arsenal (K) had 53% of the ball to Manchester City (K)'s 47%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arsenal (K) and 1.33 for Manchester City (K).

What was the final score of Arsenal (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Arsenal (K) 0-1 Manchester City (K) in the England - Women's FA Cup on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Arsenal (K) 60%, draw 16%, Manchester City (K) 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Arsenal (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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