Arsenal (K) vs Manchester City (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Arsenal (K) v Manchester City (K) — Team-Based Signals
Arsenal (K) vs Manchester City (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Arsenal (K) 0-1 Manchester City (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Manchester City (K) squeezed past Arsenal (K) 1-0 away from home. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. Arsenal (K) carried 71% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, possession split 53% to 47% in Arsenal (K)'s favour, shots finished 11-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Arsenal (K) against 1.33 for Manchester City (K).
Arsenal (K) vs Manchester City (K) Result & Final Score
Arsenal (K) 0 - 1 Manchester City (K) in the England - Women's FA Cup on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Arsenal (K) vs Manchester City (K) Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Arsenal (K) 71%, draw 16%, Manchester City (K) 14%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.