Fiorentina (K) 2-1 Sampdoria (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 11 Feb 2024

Fiorentina (K)
2-1 HT 1-0
Sampdoria (K)
📅11/02/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Italya - Women's Serie A – 2023/2024

Fiorentina (K) vs Sampdoria (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
71%
-8.9pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.4pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+3.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fiorentina (K) v Sampdoria (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.21/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.29/2.33
+110% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
47.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
21.0 Crosses 3.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Fiorentina (K) vs Sampdoria (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sampdoria (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA

Fiorentina (K) 2-1 Sampdoria (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina (K)
2-1
AWAY Sampdoria (K)
0.54 xG 0.91
63% Ball Possession 37%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
421 Passes 197
79% Pass Accuracy 65%
15 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fiorentina (K) vs Sampdoria (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina (K) squeezed past Sampdoria (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fiorentina (K) as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Fiorentina (K) had 63% of the ball to Sampdoria (K)'s 37%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.54 to 0.91.

What was the final score of Fiorentina (K) vs Sampdoria (K)?

Fiorentina (K) 2-1 Sampdoria (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina (K) vs Sampdoria (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina (K) 62%, draw 23%, Sampdoria (K) 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina (K)), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) ✓ Over 2.5
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