Vikingur R. 3-3 Leiknir Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 11 Feb 2024

Vikingur R.
3-3
Leiknir Reykjavik
📅11/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Iceland - League Cup – 2024

Vikingur R. vs Leiknir Reykjavik Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.11
Draw
23%
8.11
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
85%
-23.7pp
23%
Draw
9%
+13.6pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+10.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vikingur R. v Leiknir Reykjavik — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiknir Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 9%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.79/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/3.86
-12% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -21%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
412 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0

Vikingur R. vs Leiknir Reykjavik Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vikingur R.
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Leiknir Reykjavik
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.09.2022 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 9-0 HT 5-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL
08.05.2022 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 0-0 HT 0-0 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
25.09.2021 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-0 HT 2-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL
28.06.2021 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 2-1 HT 1-0 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
POST-MATCH Vikingur R. vs Leiknir Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vikingur R. and Leiknir Reykjavik couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Vikingur R. at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Vikingur R. and 0.50 for Leiknir Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Vikingur R. vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

Vikingur R. 3-3 Leiknir Reykjavik in the Iceland - League Cup on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vikingur R. vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Vikingur R. 61%, draw 23%, Leiknir Reykjavik 16%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vikingur R.) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZLK More Iceland - League Cup
11 Feb 2024
23:00 IR Reykjavik vs Throttur Reykjavik Analysis →