Atletico Madrid (K) 1-1 Madrid CFF (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.75
Draw
33%
3.72
Away
33%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
53%
-19.7pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.8pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.5pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Madrid CFF (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
-65% / -65% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
33.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid (K)
1-1
AWAY Madrid CFF (K)
3.65 xG 1.23
57% Ball Possession 43%
27 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
355 Passes 251
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 27
31 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid (K) and Madrid CFF (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Atletico Madrid (K) had 57% of the ball to Madrid CFF (K)'s 43%, shots finished 27-11, expected goals 3.65 to 1.23.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Atletico Madrid (K) 1-1 Madrid CFF (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid (K) 33%, draw 33%, Madrid CFF (K) 33%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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