Freiburg (K) 1-1 Duisburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 11 Feb 2024

Freiburg (K)
1-1 HT 0-0
Duisburg (K)
📅11/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Freiburg (K) vs Duisburg (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.34
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
70%
-7.9pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.7pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Freiburg (K) v Duisburg (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Duisburg (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -63%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
406 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Freiburg (K) 1-1 Duisburg (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Freiburg (K)
1-1
AWAY Duisburg (K)
2.55 xG 0.35
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 0
425 Passes 203
80% Pass Accuracy 67%
38 Box Touches 4
33 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Freiburg (K) vs Duisburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg (K) and Duisburg (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Freiburg (K) carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Freiburg (K) had 65% of the ball to Duisburg (K)'s 35%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.55 to 0.35.

What was the final score of Freiburg (K) vs Duisburg (K)?

Freiburg (K) 1-1 Duisburg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg (K) vs Duisburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Freiburg (K) 62%, draw 21%, Duisburg (K) 17%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Freiburg (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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