Penya Encarnada 4-1 Carroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.33
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
24%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
71%
-12.5pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.7pp
24%
Away Win
11%
+13.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.1pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penya Encarnada EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Carroi EU Bookmakers 14%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +26%
2.44/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/2.50
-8% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
346 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
POST-MATCH Penya Encarnada vs Carroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penya Encarnada swept aside Carroi 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Penya Encarnada as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Penya Encarnada vs Carroi?

Penya Encarnada 4-1 Carroi in the Andorra - 1st Division on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penya Encarnada vs Carroi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Penya Encarnada win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Penya Encarnada 58%, draw 18%, Carroi 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penya Encarnada), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Penya Encarnada) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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