Sportivo Italiano 1-1 San Martin Burzaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Primier B Metropol, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
No Pick
62%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
40%
4-5
23%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
35%
Home Win
41%
-6.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Italiano The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin Burzaco The Market 38%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-35% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Sportivo Italiano vs San Martin Burzaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Italiano and San Martin Burzaco shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Sportivo Italiano vs San Martin Burzaco?

Sportivo Italiano 1-1 San Martin Burzaco in the Argentina - Primier B Metropol on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Italiano vs San Martin Burzaco?

Before kick-off our model rated an San Martin Burzaco win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Italiano 35%, draw 27%, San Martin Burzaco 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (San Martin Burzaco), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Martin Burzaco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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