11/02/2024
·
23:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Club Atlas vs Mercedes Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No Pick
57%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
50%
4-5
13%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
43%
Home Win
30%
22%
Draw
31%
35%
Away Win
39%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Club Atlas v Mercedes — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Club Atlas
The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY
Mercedes
The Market 43%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
352 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
380 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Club Atlas vs Mercedes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Club Atlas and Mercedes couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Club Atlas at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Club Atlas vs Mercedes?
Club Atlas 1-1 Mercedes in the Argentina - Primera C Apertura on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Club Atlas vs Mercedes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Club Atlas win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Club Atlas 43%, draw 22%, Mercedes 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Club Atlas), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Club Atlas)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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ARJPC
More Argentina - Primera C Apertura
11 Feb 2024