Western United (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Western United (K) v Brisbane Roar (K) — Team-Based Signals
Western United (K) 3-2 Brisbane Roar (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Western United (K) nicked a narrow win over Brisbane Roar (K) 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Western United (K) as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Western United (K) had 46% of the ball to Brisbane Roar (K)'s 54%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.70 to 1.24 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Western United (K)'s control.
What was the final score of Western United (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?
Western United (K) 3-2 Brisbane Roar (K) in the Australia - W-League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Western United (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Western United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Western United (K) 50%, draw 21%, Brisbane Roar (K) 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western United (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.