Western Sydney Wanderers 3-3 Newcastle Jets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 11 Feb 2024

Western Sydney Wanderers
3-3 HT 2-1
Newcastle Jets
📅11/02/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2023/2024

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Newcastle Jets Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.61
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.96
2-3 Goals
39%
2.04
4-5 Goals
28%
2.54
6+ Goals
14%
5.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.19
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
12%
4.48
X/2
9%
8.9
X/X
10%
6.41
2/1
10%
19.3
2/2
10%
5.59
2/X
8%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.5pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Western Sydney Wanderers v Newcastle Jets — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Jets EU Bookmakers 28%
+9% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.65/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.85
+4% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
399 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
19.0 Crosses 18.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Newcastle Jets Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Newcastle Jets
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.90 xG 1.39
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
415 Passes 352
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.11.2023 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 2-2 HT 2-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
22.01.2023 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 1-1 HT 1-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
28.10.2022 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
20.04.2022 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 3-2 HT 3-0 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
23.02.2022 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 1-0 HT 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
28.11.2021 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 2-2 HT 1-1 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS

Western Sydney Wanderers 3-3 Newcastle Jets — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
3-3
AWAY Newcastle Jets
1.89 xG 1.53
43% Ball Possession 57%
20 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
350 Passes 472
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Western Sydney Wanderers vs Newcastle Jets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Sydney Wanderers and Newcastle Jets shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Western Sydney Wanderers at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Western Sydney Wanderers had 43% of the ball to Newcastle Jets's 57%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 1.89 to 1.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Western Sydney Wanderers had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Western Sydney Wanderers and 1.33 for Newcastle Jets.

What was the final score of Western Sydney Wanderers vs Newcastle Jets?

Western Sydney Wanderers 3-3 Newcastle Jets in the Australia - A-League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Sydney Wanderers vs Newcastle Jets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western Sydney Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Western Sydney Wanderers 48%, draw 24%, Newcastle Jets 28%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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