Swarovski Tirol 0-2 Austria Lustenau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 11 Feb 2024

Swarovski Tirol
0-2 HT 0-0
Austria Lustenau
📅11/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Swarovski Tirol vs Austria Lustenau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
12.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.22
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
16%
4.01
X/2
9%
9.03
X/X
10%
5.07
2/1
7%
22.9
2/2
10%
6.86
2/X
6%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Swarovski Tirol v Austria Lustenau — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 25%
-19% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +24%
1.32/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.51
-36% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +46%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
312 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 68%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
18.0 Crosses 13.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Swarovski Tirol vs Austria Lustenau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swarovski Tirol
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Austria Lustenau
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.19 xG 1.61
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
266 Passes 255
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 2-3 HT 0-2 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
20.05.2023 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 2-4 HT 0-2 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
22.04.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 0-2 HT 0-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AVU
15.10.2022 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 3-2 HT 3-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AVU
24.07.2022 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 2-1 HT 1-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
08.02.2020 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 2-2 HT 0-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AUK

Swarovski Tirol 0-2 Austria Lustenau — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swarovski Tirol
0-2
AWAY Austria Lustenau
0.94 xG 1.05
79% Ball Possession 21%
16 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
615 Passes 87
86% Pass Accuracy 46%
26 Box Touches 9
34 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Swarovski Tirol vs Austria Lustenau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Lustenau got the better of Swarovski Tirol 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Swarovski Tirol at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Swarovski Tirol had 79% of the ball to Austria Lustenau's 21%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 0.94 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swarovski Tirol had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Swarovski Tirol and 2.00 for Austria Lustenau.

What was the final score of Swarovski Tirol vs Austria Lustenau?

Swarovski Tirol 0-2 Austria Lustenau in the Austria - Bundesliga on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swarovski Tirol vs Austria Lustenau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swarovski Tirol win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Swarovski Tirol 52%, draw 23%, Austria Lustenau 25%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Swarovski Tirol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Swarovski Tirol) ✓ Under 2.5
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