Al Dhafra 1-2 Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒16:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
1.9
Over 2.5
62%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.81
No
39%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.5pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
49%
-10.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
51%
+10.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
51%
+9.5pp
39%
BTTS No
49%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Dhafra EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Arabi EU Bookmakers 24%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.30/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.91
+19% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
425 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Dhafra
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Arabi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
23.09.2023 Arabi 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE2
POST-MATCH Al Dhafra vs Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arabi edged past Al Dhafra 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Dhafra at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Al Dhafra vs Arabi?

Al Dhafra 1-2 Arabi in the UAE - 1st Division on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Dhafra vs Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Dhafra win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Dhafra 52%, draw 22%, Arabi 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Dhafra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Dhafra) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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