Kaynaşlı Belediyespor 5-3 Gölbaşı Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Regional Amateur League, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
22%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
50%
4-5
17%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
49%
Home Win
43%
+5.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
22%
Away Win
28%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaynaşlı Belediyespor The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Gölbaşı Belediyespor The Market 32%
-60% / -60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 8
314 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaynaşlı Belediyespor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gölbaşı Belediyespor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
22.10.2023 Gölbaşı Belediyespor Gölbaşı Belediyespor 1-2 Kaynaşlı Belediyespor Kaynaşlı Belediyespor BAL
POST-MATCH Kaynaşlı Belediyespor vs Gölbaşı Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaynaşlı Belediyespor got the better of Gölbaşı Belediyespor 5-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kaynaşlı Belediyespor as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Kaynaşlı Belediyespor vs Gölbaşı Belediyespor?

Kaynaşlı Belediyespor 5-3 Gölbaşı Belediyespor in the Turkey - Regional Amateur League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaynaşlı Belediyespor vs Gölbaşı Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kaynaşlı Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kaynaşlı Belediyespor 49%, draw 29%, Gölbaşı Belediyespor 22%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kaynaşlı Belediyespor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kaynaşlı Belediyespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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