Sloboda Tuzla 1-1 FK Sarajevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.34
Draw
32%
3.72
Away
51%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.07
Over 2.5
42%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
22%
2/1
3%
2/2
33%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
16%
+0.8pp
32%
Draw
24%
+7.9pp
52%
Away Win
60%
-8.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.4pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sloboda Tuzla EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 64%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
259 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sloboda Tuzla
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FK Sarajevo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.04.2023 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla 2-3 HT 2-2 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
05.11.2022 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
19.08.2022 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-1 HT 0-1 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla BOSN
22.05.2022 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-0 HT 1-0 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla BOSN
16.03.2022 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSK
02.03.2022 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 2-0 HT 1-0 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla BOSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sloboda Tuzla
1-1
AWAY FK Sarajevo
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sloboda Tuzla vs FK Sarajevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sloboda Tuzla and FK Sarajevo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was FK Sarajevo at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Sloboda Tuzla had 41% of the ball to FK Sarajevo's 59%, shots finished 6-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Sarajevo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sloboda Tuzla and 1.17 for FK Sarajevo.

What was the final score of Sloboda Tuzla vs FK Sarajevo?

Sloboda Tuzla 1-1 FK Sarajevo in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sloboda Tuzla vs FK Sarajevo?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Sarajevo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sloboda Tuzla 17%, draw 32%, FK Sarajevo 52%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FK Sarajevo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Sarajevo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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