Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs Penedense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruzeiro Arapiraca v Penedense — Team-Based Signals
Cruzeiro Arapiraca 0-1 Penedense — Actual Match Statistics
Penedense nicked a narrow win over Cruzeiro Arapiraca 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Cruzeiro Arapiraca at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Cruzeiro Arapiraca had 56% of the ball to Penedense's 44%, shots finished 6-7.
What was the final score of Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs Penedense?
Cruzeiro Arapiraca 0-1 Penedense in the Brazil - Alagoano on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs Penedense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro Arapiraca win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro Arapiraca 43%, draw 27%, Penedense 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cruzeiro Arapiraca) went the other way.