Brezilya U23 0-1 Arjantin U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.47
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
31%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.97
Over 2.5
36%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
1.63
No
65%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
37%
+10.3pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.9pp
31%
Away Win
37%
-5.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
47%
+16.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
53%
-17.0pp
35%
BTTS Yes
57%
-21.9pp
65%
BTTS No
43%
+21.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brezilya U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Arjantin U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brezilya U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Arjantin U23
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
19.08.2008 Arjantin U23 Arjantin U23 3-0 HT 0-0 Brezilya U23 Brezilya U23 OLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brezilya U23
0-1
AWAY Arjantin U23
0.37 xG 0.72
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 12
242 Passes 361
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 21
3 Crosses 38
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brezilya U23 vs Arjantin U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arjantin U23 edged past Brezilya U23 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Brezilya U23 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Brezilya U23 had 39% of the ball to Arjantin U23's 61%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.37 to 0.72.

What was the final score of Brezilya U23 vs Arjantin U23?

Brezilya U23 0-1 Arjantin U23 in the CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brezilya U23 vs Arjantin U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brezilya U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Brezilya U23 47%, draw 21%, Arjantin U23 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Brezilya U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brezilya U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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