USM Alger vs Paradou Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
USM Alger v Paradou — Team-Based Signals
USM Alger vs Paradou Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
USM Alger
CZYR
2-1
HT 2-0
Paradou
CZYR
2-1
HT 2-1
Paradou
CZYR
2-1
HT 1-0
Paradou
CZYR
2-1
HT 1-0
USM Alger
CZYR
1-1
HT 0-0
USM Alger
CZYR
USM Alger 1-5 Paradou — Actual Match Statistics
Paradou ran out comfortable winners over USM Alger 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was USM Alger at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, USM Alger had 54% of the ball to Paradou's 46%, shots finished 7-13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, USM Alger had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for USM Alger and 1.17 for Paradou.
What was the final score of USM Alger vs Paradou?
USM Alger 1-5 Paradou in the Algeria - 1st Division on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for USM Alger vs Paradou?
Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 47%, draw 23%, Paradou 30%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.