USM Alger 1-5 Paradou — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Algeria - Ligue 1, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.12
Away
20%
4.06
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
63%
1.55
Over
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.17
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.25
2-3
46%
1.77
4-5
15%
5.3
6+
3%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
3%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME USM Alger The Market 53%
Signal
AWAY Paradou The Market 25%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.57 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.00
0.78 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.37
Strong Attack Strength Great
Weak Defense Strength Average
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Alger
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Paradou
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2023 Paradou Paradou 1-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
25.10.2022 USM Alger USM Alger 2-1 HT 2-0 Paradou Paradou CZYR
25.01.2022 USM Alger USM Alger 2-1 HT 2-1 Paradou Paradou CZYR
09.08.2021 USM Alger USM Alger 2-1 HT 1-0 Paradou Paradou CZYR
06.03.2021 Paradou Paradou 2-1 HT 1-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
07.03.2020 Paradou Paradou 1-1 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Alger
1 - 5
AWAY Paradou
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW USM Alger vs Paradou
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Paradou ran out comfortable winners over USM Alger 5-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-2. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.

Our pre-match lean was USM Alger at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: USM Alger had 54% of the ball to Paradou's 46%, shots finished 7-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, USM Alger had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for USM Alger and 1.17 for Paradou.

USM Alger vs Paradou Result & Final Score

USM Alger 1 - 5 Paradou in the Algeria - Ligue 1 on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

USM Alger vs Paradou Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 51%, draw 29%, Paradou 20%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (USM Alger) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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