Isidro Metapan 2-3 Municipal Limeno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.96
No
63%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+1.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
47%
-10.1pp
63%
BTTS No
53%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 30%
+9% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +2%
1.30/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.25
-3% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Isidro Metapan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Municipal Limeno
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
09.11.2023 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-3 HT 1-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
07.09.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-3 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
02.05.2022 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-0 HT 1-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
27.02.2022 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
31.10.2021 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 2-2 HT 1-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
22.08.2021 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 1-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
POST-MATCH Isidro Metapan vs Municipal Limeno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Limeno nicked a narrow win over Isidro Metapan 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Isidro Metapan at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Isidro Metapan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Isidro Metapan and 1.17 for Municipal Limeno.

What was the final score of Isidro Metapan vs Municipal Limeno?

Isidro Metapan 2-3 Municipal Limeno in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Isidro Metapan vs Municipal Limeno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Isidro Metapan win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Isidro Metapan 48%, draw 26%, Municipal Limeno 27%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Isidro Metapan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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