Lyon (K) 1-1 PSG (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 11 Feb 2024

Lyon (K)
1-1 HT 0-0
PSG (K)
📅11/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Women's 1st Divisioni – 2023/2024

Lyon (K) vs PSG (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-12.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.2pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.0pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lyon (K) v PSG (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyon (K) EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG (K) EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +65% / +65%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +70%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Lyon (K) vs PSG (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyon (K)
4W-1D-1L
AWAY PSG (K)
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.53 xG 1.32
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
334 Passes 305
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.04.2022 PSG (K) PSG (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) ŞMP-K
24.04.2022 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 3-2 HT 2-1 PSG (K) PSG (K) ŞMP-K
18.04.2021 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 PSG (K) PSG (K) ŞMP-K
24.03.2021 PSG (K) PSG (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) ŞMP-K
26.08.2020 PSG (K) PSG (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) ŞMP-K
01.06.2017 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 PSG (K) PSG (K) ŞMP-K

Lyon (K) 1-1 PSG (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyon (K)
1-1
AWAY PSG (K)
1.15 xG 0.80
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
272 Passes 362
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 7
24 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lyon (K) vs PSG (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon (K) and PSG (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lyon (K) at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lyon (K) had 45% of the ball to PSG (K)'s 55%, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 1.15 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lyon (K) had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lyon (K) and 0.83 for PSG (K).

What was the final score of Lyon (K) vs PSG (K)?

Lyon (K) 1-1 PSG (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyon (K) vs PSG (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lyon (K) 48%, draw 27%, PSG (K) 24%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lyon (K)) ✗ BTTS No
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