Mainvilliers 1-1 Orléans II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
32%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
Over Pick
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
36%
4-5
30%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
66%
-18.0pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
14%
+17.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mainvilliers The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Orléans II The Market 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
423 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Mainvilliers vs Orléans II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mainvilliers and Orléans II shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Mainvilliers at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Mainvilliers vs Orléans II?

Mainvilliers 1-1 Orléans II in the France - National League 3 on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mainvilliers vs Orléans II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mainvilliers win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Mainvilliers 48%, draw 20%, Orléans II 32%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mainvilliers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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