Mixco vs Achuapa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mixco v Achuapa — Team-Based Signals
Mixco vs Achuapa Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Mixco
GUAT
2-0
HT 2-0
Achuapa
GUAT
1-0
HT 0-0
Mixco
GUAT
3-0
HT 2-0
Achuapa
GUAT
2-2
HT 2-0
Achuapa
GUAT
Mixco 1-0 Achuapa — Actual Match Statistics
Mixco squeezed past Achuapa 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Mixco as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Mixco had 43% of the ball to Achuapa's 57%, shots finished 13-14.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Mixco and 1.00 for Achuapa.
What was the final score of Mixco vs Achuapa?
Mixco 1-0 Achuapa in the Guatemala - National League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mixco vs Achuapa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mixco win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Mixco 51%, draw 28%, Achuapa 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mixco), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.