11/02/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Khimki vs Shinnik Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
18%
Draw
26%
36%
Away Win
29%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Khimki v Shinnik — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Khimki
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Shinnik
EU Bookmakers 32%
-39% /
-39%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-4%
/
-43%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
16
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
5
371 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
298 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Khimki vs Shinnik Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Khimki
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Shinnik
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
49%
Ball Possession
51%
14
Total Shots
7
7
Shots on Target
3
2
Corners
4
The Meetings
05.08.2023
Shinnik
1-2
HT 1-2
Khimki
RUS1
1-2
HT 1-2
Khimki
RUS1
POST-MATCH
Khimki vs Shinnik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Khimki edged past Shinnik 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Khimki as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Khimki vs Shinnik?
Khimki 1-0 Shinnik in the Friendlies on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Khimki vs Shinnik?
Before kick-off our model rated a Khimki win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Khimki 46%, draw 18%, Shinnik 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Khimki) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Khimki)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
11 Feb 2024