Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 2-2 Telstar (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.15
Over 2.5
43%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.5pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.4pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
43%
+14.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
57%
-14.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Telstar (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
2-2
AWAY Telstar (K)
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Telstar (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) and Telstar (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Excelsior Barendrecht (K) at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) had 56% of the ball to Telstar (K)'s 44%, shots finished 20-8.

What was the final score of Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Telstar (K)?

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 2-2 Telstar (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Telstar (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior Barendrecht (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 43%, draw 30%, Telstar (K) 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Excelsior Barendrecht (K)), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Excelsior Barendrecht (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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