Cortulua Tulua 0-1 Orsomarso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera B, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
40%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over Pick
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
45%
4-5
24%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
38%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cortulua Tulua The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Orsomarso The Market 39%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-2% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cortulua Tulua
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Orsomarso
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 11
5 Yellow Cards 3
09.09.2023 Cortulua Tulua Cortulua Tulua 3-0 HT 2-0 Orsomarso Orsomarso KOLB
02.04.2023 Orsomarso Orsomarso 0-1 HT 0-0 Cortulua Tulua Cortulua Tulua KOLB
12.10.2021 Cortulua Tulua Cortulua Tulua 1-1 HT 1-0 Orsomarso Orsomarso KOLB
03.04.2021 Orsomarso Orsomarso 1-2 HT 0-2 Cortulua Tulua Cortulua Tulua KOLB
POST-MATCH Cortulua Tulua vs Orsomarso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orsomarso edged past Cortulua Tulua 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Orsomarso found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cortulua Tulua had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Cortulua Tulua and 0.50 for Orsomarso.

What was the final score of Cortulua Tulua vs Orsomarso?

Cortulua Tulua 0-1 Orsomarso in the Colombia - Primera B on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cortulua Tulua vs Orsomarso?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orsomarso win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cortulua Tulua 34%, draw 26%, Orsomarso 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orsomarso) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orsomarso) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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