AEL Limassol 1-1 APOEL Nicosia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Cyprus Rum Kesimi - 1st Division, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
Over
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
42%
4-5
22%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
53%
Home Win
61%
-7.6pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.3pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEL Limassol The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY APOEL Nicosia The Market 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +63%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
407 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEL Limassol
1-1
AWAY APOEL Nicosia
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 10
POST-MATCH AEL Limassol vs APOEL Nicosia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEL Limassol and APOEL Nicosia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was AEL Limassol at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, AEL Limassol had 48% of the ball to APOEL Nicosia's 52%, shots finished 6-16.

What was the final score of AEL Limassol vs APOEL Nicosia?

AEL Limassol 1-1 APOEL Nicosia in the Cyprus Rum Kesimi - 1st Division on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEL Limassol vs APOEL Nicosia?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEL Limassol win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split AEL Limassol 53%, draw 25%, APOEL Nicosia 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AEL Limassol), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AEL Limassol) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →