Al Nasar 1-2 Al Fahaheel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 11 Feb 2024

Al Nasar
1-2 HT 0-2
Al Fahaheel
📅11/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Kuwait - Premier League – 2023/2024

Al Nasar vs Al Fahaheel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.0
6+ Goals
8%
9.41
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.11 — our 29% vs market 19.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-6.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.6pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Nasar v Al Fahaheel — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasar EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fahaheel EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.73/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.33
+26% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Al Nasar vs Al Fahaheel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nasar
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Fahaheel
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel 4-2 HT 3-1 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
04.02.2023 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel 4-1 HT 1-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
08.09.2022 Al Nasar Al Nasar 1-3 HT 1-0 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel KUV
16.02.2022 Al Nasar Al Nasar 4-0 HT 1-0 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel KUV
25.11.2021 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
25.04.2021 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
POST-MATCH Al Nasar vs Al Fahaheel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fahaheel nicked a narrow win over Al Nasar 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Al Fahaheel found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Fahaheel led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Nasar and 2.00 for Al Fahaheel.

What was the final score of Al Nasar vs Al Fahaheel?

Al Nasar 1-2 Al Fahaheel in the Kuwait - Premier League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nasar vs Al Fahaheel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nasar win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Nasar 40%, draw 26%, Al Fahaheel 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Nasar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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