11/02/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Luqa St. Andrews vs Msida St. Joseph Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
30%
Draw
28%
36%
Away Win
39%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Luqa St. Andrews v Msida St. Joseph — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Luqa St. Andrews
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Msida St. Joseph
EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
12
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
289 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
296 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Luqa St. Andrews vs Msida St. Joseph
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Luqa St. Andrews saw off Msida St. Joseph 2-0.
Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Luqa St. Andrews found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Luqa St. Andrews vs Msida St. Joseph?
Luqa St. Andrews 2-0 Msida St. Joseph in the Malta - 1st Division on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Luqa St. Andrews vs Msida St. Joseph?
Before kick-off our model rated an Msida St. Joseph win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Luqa St. Andrews 34%, draw 30%, Msida St. Joseph 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Msida St. Joseph) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Msida St. Joseph)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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More Malta - 1st Division
11 Feb 2024