HEBC 3-1 Concordia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Oberliga, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒12:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
13%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HEBC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Concordia EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
3.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/4.00
+38% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +119% / -47%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HEBC
3-1
AWAY Concordia
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH HEBC vs Concordia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HEBC got the better of Concordia 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day HEBC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, HEBC had 56% of the ball to Concordia's 44%, shots finished 13-13.

What was the final score of HEBC vs Concordia?

HEBC 3-1 Concordia in the Germany - Oberliga on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HEBC vs Concordia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Concordia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split HEBC 36%, draw 27%, Concordia 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Concordia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Concordia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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