Alianza Lima vs Universitario Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Lima v Universitario — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Lima vs Universitario Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Universitario
PER
1-1
HT 0-0
Alianza Lima
PER
0-0
HT 0-0
Universitario
PER
1-2
HT 0-1
Alianza Lima
PER
0-2
HT 0-0
Universitario
PER
1-4
HT 0-2
Alianza Lima
PER
Alianza Lima 0-1 Universitario — Actual Match Statistics
Universitario squeezed past Alianza Lima 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Universitario made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
On the day, Alianza Lima had 61% of the ball to Universitario's 39%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.19 to 0.76 — the balance of chances actually favoured Alianza Lima.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alianza Lima and 1.17 for Universitario.
What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Universitario?
Alianza Lima 0-1 Universitario in the Peru - Premier League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs Universitario?
Before kick-off our model rated an Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 34%, draw 27%, Universitario 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.