FCSB 1-0 Sepsi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 11 Feb 2024

FCSB
1-0 HT 1-0
Sepsi
📅11/02/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Romania - 1st Division – 2023/2024

FCSB vs Sepsi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.35
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-10.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FCSB v Sepsi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FCSB EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepsi EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -26%
1.79/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.50
+9% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

FCSB vs Sepsi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FCSB
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Sepsi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.30 xG 1.26
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
306 Passes 280
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 2-5 HT 0-2 FCSB FCSB ROM
08.05.2023 FCSB FCSB 3-1 HT 1-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
03.04.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 1-2 HT 1-2 FCSB FCSB ROM
12.03.2023 FCSB FCSB 1-0 HT 1-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
24.10.2022 Sepsi Sepsi 0-1 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
19.12.2021 Sepsi Sepsi 0-0 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROM

FCSB 1-0 Sepsi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FCSB
1-0
AWAY Sepsi
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FCSB vs Sepsi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FCSB nicked a narrow win over Sepsi 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FCSB as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, FCSB had 43% of the ball to Sepsi's 57%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FCSB had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FCSB and 0.67 for Sepsi.

What was the final score of FCSB vs Sepsi?

FCSB 1-0 Sepsi in the Romania - 1st Division on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FCSB vs Sepsi?

Before kick-off our model rated a FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FCSB 44%, draw 26%, Sepsi 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FCSB) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FCSB) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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